PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 9:03 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 8:59 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Notre Dame Why here?
2Alabama Why here?
3Texas Why here?
4Texas Tech Why here?
5Pittsburgh Why here?
6Missouri Why here?
7UCLA Why here?
8West Virginia Why here?
9Florida Why here?
10BYU Why here?
11Mississippi State Why here?
12Utah Why here?
13North Dakota State Why here?
14Tulsa Why here?
15Tennessee Why here?
16Virginia Tech Why here?
17Virginia Why here?
18James Madison Why here?
19UCF Why here?
20Nebraska Why here?
21Houston Why here?
22Oregon Why here?
23Iowa Why here?
24Kansas State Why here?
25Texas A&M Why here?
26Cincinnati Why here?
27Georgia Why here?
28Kentucky Why here?
29Massachusetts Why here?
30Miami Why here?
31Auburn Why here?
32USC Why here?
33Indiana Why here?
34South Carolina Why here?
35Wisconsin Why here?
36Oklahoma State Why here?
37Ohio State Why here?
38Boise State Why here?
39Baylor Why here?
40Duke Why here?
41LSU Why here?
42Arizona State Why here?
43Washington Why here?
44Northwestern Why here?
45SMU Why here?
46Ole Miss Why here?
47South Florida Why here?
48North Carolina Why here?
49Toledo Why here?
50Clemson Why here?