PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 9:03 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 8:59 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
51Vanderbilt Why here?
52Penn State Why here?
53TCU Why here?
54UTSA Why here?
55California Why here?
56Liberty Why here?
57Arizona Why here?
58Maryland Why here?
59Air Force Why here?
60Army Why here?
61Minnesota Why here?
62Georgia State Why here?
63Michigan Why here?
64Troy Why here?
65Syracuse Why here?
66NC State Why here?
67Louisville Why here?
68App State Why here?
69Miami (OH) Why here?
70Kansas Why here?
71Oregon State Why here?
72Florida State Why here?
73Iowa State Why here?
74Colorado Why here?
75Wake Forest Why here?
76New Mexico Why here?
77Georgia Tech Why here?
78Western Michigan Why here?
79Boston College Why here?
80Michigan State Why here?
81Washington State Why here?
82Memphis Why here?
83Delaware Why here?
84Oklahoma Why here?
85East Carolina Why here?
86Illinois Why here?
87UConn Why here?
88Rutgers Why here?
89Texas State Why here?
90Louisiana Tech Why here?
91Louisiana Why here?
92Jacksonville State Why here?
93Sam Houston Why here?
94San Diego State Why here?
95Ohio Why here?
96Colorado State Why here?
97Arkansas State Why here?
98Coastal Carolina Why here?
99Arkansas Why here?
100Temple Why here?