PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 9:03 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 8:59 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
101South Alabama Why here?
102Southern Miss Why here?
103Marshall Why here?
104Purdue Why here?
105Fresno State Why here?
106Rice Why here?
107Tulane Why here?
108Georgia Southern Why here?
109Florida International Why here?
110Kennesaw State Why here?
111Old Dominion Why here?
112Kent State Why here?
113Middle Tennessee Why here?
114Florida Atlantic Why here?
115Utah State Why here?
116Missouri State Why here?
117Buffalo Why here?
118San José State Why here?
119Central Michigan Why here?
120Navy Why here?
121Sacramento State Why here?
122Wyoming Why here?
123North Texas Why here?
124UAB Why here?
125UTEP Why here?
126Eastern Michigan Why here?
127UNLV Why here?
128Ball State Why here?
129New Mexico State Why here?
130Nevada Why here?
131Akron Why here?
132Western Kentucky Why here?
133Northern Illinois Why here?
134Bowling Green Why here?
135Stanford Why here?
136UL Monroe Why here?
137Charlotte Why here?
138Hawai'i Why here?