PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 9:24 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 9:24 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Notre Dame Why here?
2Texas Why here?
3Alabama Why here?
4Texas Tech Why here?
5Pittsburgh Why here?
6Missouri Why here?
7West Virginia Why here?
8UCLA Why here?
9BYU Why here?
10Florida Why here?
11Utah Why here?
12Mississippi State Why here?
13North Dakota State Why here?
14Tulsa Why here?
15Tennessee Why here?
16Georgia Why here?
17Virginia Tech Why here?
18Indiana Why here?
19Virginia Why here?
20UCF Why here?
21James Madison Why here?
22Nebraska Why here?
23Houston Why here?
24Iowa Why here?
25Oregon Why here?
26Kansas State Why here?
27Texas A&M Why here?
28Cincinnati Why here?
29Kentucky Why here?
30Massachusetts Why here?
31Miami Why here?
32Auburn Why here?
33USC Why here?
34South Carolina Why here?
35Wisconsin Why here?
36Oklahoma State Why here?
37Northwestern Why here?
38Boise State Why here?
39Ohio State Why here?
40Baylor Why here?
41Duke Why here?
42LSU Why here?
43Arizona State Why here?
44Washington Why here?
45SMU Why here?
46Ole Miss Why here?
47South Florida Why here?
48North Carolina Why here?
49Toledo Why here?
50Clemson Why here?