PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 9:35 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 9:35 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
51Penn State Why here?
52UTSA Why here?
53Vanderbilt Why here?
54California Why here?
55Air Force Why here?
56Arizona Why here?
57Michigan Why here?
58Maryland Why here?
59Army Why here?
60Georgia State Why here?
61Troy Why here?
62Liberty Why here?
63South Carolina Why here?
64Minnesota Why here?
65Syracuse Why here?
66App State Why here?
67Louisville Why here?
68NC State Why here?
69Miami (OH) Why here?
70Kansas Why here?
71Florida State Why here?
72Oregon State Why here?
73Colorado Why here?
74Iowa State Why here?
75New Mexico Why here?
76Wake Forest Why here?
77Georgia Tech Why here?
78Western Michigan Why here?
79Oklahoma Why here?
80Boston College Why here?
81Michigan State Why here?
82Washington State Why here?
83Memphis Why here?
84East Carolina Why here?
85Texas State Why here?
86Rutgers Why here?
87UConn Why here?
88Illinois Why here?
89Jacksonville State Why here?
90Louisiana Tech Why here?
91Delaware Why here?
92Sam Houston Why here?
93Louisiana Why here?
94Arkansas Why here?
95Ohio Why here?
96Colorado State Why here?
97San Diego State Why here?
98Arkansas State Why here?
99Temple Why here?
100Coastal Carolina Why here?