PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 9:57 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 9:57 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Alabama Why here?
2Notre Dame Why here?
3Texas Why here?
4Texas Tech Why here?
5Pittsburgh Why here?
6Utah Why here?
7Indiana Why here?
8BYU Why here?
9UCLA Why here?
10Florida Why here?
11Oklahoma State Why here?
12North Dakota State Why here?
13Tulsa Why here?
14Tennessee Why here?
15Georgia Why here?
16Missouri Why here?
17Virginia Tech Why here?
18Mississippi State Why here?
19UCF Why here?
20Cincinnati Why here?
21James Madison Why here?
22Oregon Why here?
23Virginia Why here?
24Nebraska Why here?
25Iowa Why here?
26Houston Why here?
27West Virginia Why here?
28Texas A&M Why here?
29Kentucky Why here?
30Massachusetts Why here?
31Miami Why here?
32Northwestern Why here?
33USC Why here?
34Wisconsin Why here?
35Auburn Why here?
36Boise State Why here?
37Baylor Why here?
38Ohio State Why here?
39Washington Why here?
40LSU Why here?
41SMU Why here?
42Arizona State Why here?
43Duke Why here?
44UTSA Why here?
45Kansas State Why here?
46Ole Miss Why here?
47North Carolina Why here?
48South Florida Why here?
49Toledo Why here?
50Clemson Why here?