PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 9:57 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 9:57 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
101Coastal Carolina Why here?
102Marshall Why here?
103Purdue Why here?
104Rice Why here?
105Fresno State Why here?
106South Alabama Why here?
107Georgia Southern Why here?
108Tulane Why here?
109Middle Tennessee Why here?
110Kennesaw State Why here?
111Florida International Why here?
112Old Dominion Why here?
113Utah State Why here?
114Western Kentucky Why here?
115Missouri State Why here?
116Florida Atlantic Why here?
117Buffalo Why here?
118Kent State Why here?
119Southern Miss Why here?
120San José State Why here?
121Central Michigan Why here?
122Navy Why here?
123Nevada Why here?
124Sacramento State Why here?
125UTEP Why here?
126Wyoming Why here?
127UNLV Why here?
128UAB Why here?
129Eastern Michigan Why here?
130New Mexico State Why here?
131Ball State Why here?
132Akron Why here?
133Northern Illinois Why here?
134Bowling Green Why here?
135Stanford Why here?
136UL Monroe Why here?
137Charlotte Why here?
138Hawai'i Why here?