PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 10:09 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 10:08 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Notre Dame Why here?
2Alabama Why here?
3Texas Why here?
4Texas Tech Why here?
5Pittsburgh Why here?
6Utah Why here?
7UCLA Why here?
8BYU Why here?
9Indiana Why here?
10Florida Why here?
11Oklahoma State Why here?
12North Dakota State Why here?
13Tulsa Why here?
14Tennessee Why here?
15Georgia Why here?
16Missouri Why here?
17Virginia Tech Why here?
18Mississippi State Why here?
19UCF Why here?
20Cincinnati Why here?
21Oregon Why here?
22James Madison Why here?
23Nebraska Why here?
24Iowa Why here?
25Houston Why here?
26Virginia Why here?
27West Virginia Why here?
28LSU Why here?
29Massachusetts Why here?
30Miami Why here?
31Northwestern Why here?
32USC Why here?
33Auburn Why here?
34Wisconsin Why here?
35Boise State Why here?
36Baylor Why here?
37Ohio State Why here?
38Washington Why here?
39Ole Miss Why here?
40SMU Why here?
41Kentucky Why here?
42UTSA Why here?
43Duke Why here?
44Clemson Why here?
45North Carolina Why here?
46Kansas State Why here?
47South Florida Why here?
48Toledo Why here?
49TCU Why here?
50Penn State Why here?