PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 10:09 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 10:08 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
51California Why here?
52Arizona State Why here?
53Vanderbilt Why here?
54Air Force Why here?
55Arizona Why here?
56Michigan Why here?
57Maryland Why here?
58Army Why here?
59Georgia State Why here?
60Liberty Why here?
61South Carolina Why here?
62Minnesota Why here?
63Syracuse Why here?
64Texas A&M Why here?
65NC State Why here?
66Louisville Why here?
67Texas State Why here?
68Colorado Why here?
69Miami (OH) Why here?
70Florida State Why here?
71Oregon State Why here?
72Iowa State Why here?
73Wake Forest Why here?
74New Mexico Why here?
75Kansas Why here?
76Georgia Tech Why here?
77Western Michigan Why here?
78Oklahoma Why here?
79Memphis Why here?
80Michigan State Why here?
81Boston College Why here?
82North Texas Why here?
83App State Why here?
84Louisiana Tech Why here?
85Washington State Why here?
86Rutgers Why here?
87East Carolina Why here?
88Jacksonville State Why here?
89Illinois Why here?
90Troy Why here?
91Delaware Why here?
92UConn Why here?
93Arkansas Why here?
94Colorado State Why here?
95Louisiana Why here?
96Arkansas State Why here?
97San Diego State Why here?
98Ohio Why here?
99Sam Houston Why here?
100Temple Why here?