PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 10:20 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 10:19 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Notre Dame Why here?
2Alabama Why here?
3Texas Why here?
4Utah Why here?
5Pittsburgh Why here?
6Texas Tech Why here?
7Georgia Why here?
8UCLA Why here?
9Florida Why here?
10BYU Why here?
11Indiana Why here?
12Tennessee Why here?
13North Dakota State Why here?
14Oregon Why here?
15Missouri Why here?
16Virginia Tech Why here?
17UCF Why here?
18Iowa Why here?
19Oklahoma State Why here?
20James Madison Why here?
21Nebraska Why here?
22Cincinnati Why here?
23Houston Why here?
24LSU Why here?
25Virginia Why here?
26Mississippi State Why here?
27West Virginia Why here?
28Miami Why here?
29Northwestern Why here?
30Massachusetts Why here?
31Auburn Why here?
32Wisconsin Why here?
33Baylor Why here?
34Boise State Why here?
35Ohio State Why here?
36Washington Why here?
37Ole Miss Why here?
38SMU Why here?
39Kentucky Why here?
40UTSA Why here?
41Duke Why here?
42Clemson Why here?
43North Carolina Why here?
44Kansas State Why here?
45South Florida Why here?
46Toledo Why here?
47TCU Why here?
48Penn State Why here?
49Tulsa Why here?
50California Why here?