PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 11:37 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 11:36 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Notre Dame Why here?
2Alabama Why here?
3Texas Why here?
4Utah Why here?
5Pittsburgh Why here?
6Georgia Why here?
7Texas Tech Why here?
8UCLA Why here?
9Florida Why here?
10Indiana Why here?
11BYU Why here?
12Tennessee Why here?
13North Dakota State Why here?
14Oregon Why here?
15Virginia Tech Why here?
16Mississippi State Why here?
17UCF Why here?
18Oklahoma State Why here?
19James Madison Why here?
20Nebraska Why here?
21Cincinnati Why here?
22Iowa Why here?
23LSU Why here?
24Virginia Why here?
25Houston Why here?
26West Virginia Why here?
27Miami Why here?
28Northwestern Why here?
29Auburn Why here?
30Wisconsin Why here?
31Baylor Why here?
32Boise State Why here?
33Massachusetts Why here?
34Ohio State Why here?
35Missouri Why here?
36Ole Miss Why here?
37Kentucky Why here?
38UTSA Why here?
39Washington Why here?
40Duke Why here?
41Clemson Why here?
42North Carolina Why here?
43South Florida Why here?
44Toledo Why here?
45Kansas State Why here?
46TCU Why here?
47Penn State Why here?
48Tulsa Why here?
49SMU Why here?
50California Why here?