PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 11:59 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 11:58 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
101Purdue Why here?
102Rice Why here?
103Marshall Why here?
104Georgia Southern Why here?
105South Alabama Why here?
106Sam Houston Why here?
107Fresno State Why here?
108Florida Atlantic Why here?
109Tulane Why here?
110Kennesaw State Why here?
111Middle Tennessee Why here?
112Florida International Why here?
113Western Kentucky Why here?
114Old Dominion Why here?
115Utah State Why here?
116Buffalo Why here?
117Southern Miss Why here?
118Kent State Why here?
119Central Michigan Why here?
120Nevada Why here?
121Navy Why here?
122San José State Why here?
123Missouri State Why here?
124Wyoming Why here?
125UNLV Why here?
126UTEP Why here?
127Sacramento State Why here?
128UAB Why here?
129New Mexico State Why here?
130Eastern Michigan Why here?
131Ball State Why here?
132Akron Why here?
133Northern Illinois Why here?
134Bowling Green Why here?
135Stanford Why here?
136Hawai'i Why here?
137Charlotte Why here?
138UL Monroe Why here?