PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 2 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 2

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Calculated Sep 12, 2026 · 6:00 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 12, 2026 · 5:59 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Notre Dame Why here?
2Texas A&M Why here?
3Missouri Why here?
4Maryland Why here?
5Ohio State Why here?
6South Carolina Why here?
7Ole Miss Why here?
8Virginia Why here?
9Pittsburgh Why here?
10Virginia Tech Why here?
11Alabama Why here?
12Wake Forest Why here?
13North Dakota State Why here?
14Tennessee Why here?
15North Carolina Why here?
16Georgia Why here?
17Utah Why here?
18BYU Why here?
19SMU Why here?
20Minnesota Why here?
21Miami Why here?
22West Virginia Why here?
23Indiana Why here?
24Penn State Why here?
25South Florida Why here?
26Texas Tech Why here?
27Southern Miss Why here?
28UCF Why here?
29Syracuse Why here?
30Michigan State Why here?
31Arizona Why here?
32Kentucky Why here?
33San Diego State Why here?
34App State Why here?
35James Madison Why here?
36Kansas State Why here?
37Louisiana Tech Why here?
38Northwestern Why here?
39UTSA Why here?
40Louisiana Why here?
41Georgia State Why here?
42Vanderbilt Why here?
43NC State Why here?
44Arkansas Why here?
45Air Force Why here?
46Iowa State Why here?
47Delaware Why here?
48Florida State Why here?
49Louisville Why here?
50Kennesaw State Why here?