PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 2 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 2

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Calculated Sep 12, 2026 · 7:37 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 12, 2026 · 7:36 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
101East Carolina Why here?
102North Texas Why here?
103Tulsa Why here?
104Memphis Why here?
105Sam Houston Why here?
106Texas State Why here?
107Oregon Why here?
108Florida International Why here?
109Oklahoma Why here?
110Illinois Why here?
111San José State Why here?
112Washington State Why here?
113Boston College Why here?
114Utah State Why here?
115Charlotte Why here?
116Stanford Why here?
117Rutgers Why here?
118Missouri State Why here?
119Marshall Why here?
120Western Kentucky Why here?
121Bowling Green Why here?
122UAB Why here?
123Baylor Why here?
124Clemson Why here?
125Western Michigan Why here?
126Oklahoma State Why here?
127UNLV Why here?
128Tulane Why here?
129Fresno State Why here?
130Boise State Why here?
131Hawai'i Why here?
132UL Monroe Why here?
133Oregon State Why here?
134Ohio Why here?
135Arkansas State Why here?
136Florida Atlantic Why here?
137UTEP Why here?
138Northern Illinois Why here?