PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 5 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 5

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Calculated Oct 3, 2026 · 1:13 AM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Oct 3, 2026 · 1:02 AM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
101Coastal Carolina Why here?
102South Alabama Why here?
103Georgia Southern Why here?
104Tulane Why here?
105Georgia Tech Why here?
106Sam Houston Why here?
107Marshall Why here?
108Florida Atlantic Why here?
109Kennesaw State Why here?
110Florida International Why here?
111Middle Tennessee Why here?
112Old Dominion Why here?
113Utah State Why here?
114Central Michigan Why here?
115Southern Miss Why here?
116Kent State Why here?
117Buffalo Why here?
118Navy Why here?
119San José State Why here?
120Rice Why here?
121Western Kentucky Why here?
122Wyoming Why here?
123Missouri State Why here?
124New Mexico State Why here?
125UNLV Why here?
126Nevada Why here?
127UTEP Why here?
128Sacramento State Why here?
129Stanford Why here?
130UAB Why here?
131Ball State Why here?
132Eastern Michigan Why here?
133Akron Why here?
134Northern Illinois Why here?
135Bowling Green Why here?
136Hawai'i Why here?
137Charlotte Why here?
138UL Monroe Why here?