PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 5 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 5

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Calculated Oct 3, 2026 · 2:21 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Oct 3, 2026 · 2:21 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
51California Why here?
52Maryland Why here?
53Arizona Why here?
54Michigan Why here?
55Vanderbilt Why here?
56Army Why here?
57Washington Why here?
58Georgia State Why here?
59Texas A&M Why here?
60South Carolina Why here?
61Tulsa Why here?
62Syracuse Why here?
63Wake Forest Why here?
64NC State Why here?
65Louisville Why here?
66Arkansas Why here?
67Texas State Why here?
68Iowa State Why here?
69Oregon State Why here?
70Florida State Why here?
71Miami (OH) Why here?
72New Mexico Why here?
73North Texas Why here?
74Kansas Why here?
75Penn State Why here?
76Memphis Why here?
77Oklahoma Why here?
78Boston College Why here?
79Michigan State Why here?
80Air Force Why here?
81East Carolina Why here?
82Colorado Why here?
83Louisiana Tech Why here?
84App State Why here?
85Illinois Why here?
86Western Michigan Why here?
87Colorado State Why here?
88UConn Why here?
89Rutgers Why here?
90Arkansas State Why here?
91San Diego State Why here?
92Louisiana Why here?
93Ohio Why here?
94Jacksonville State Why here?
95Troy Why here?
96Washington State Why here?
97Fresno State Why here?
98Delaware Why here?
99Temple Why here?
100Purdue Why here?