PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 5 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 5

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Calculated Oct 3, 2026 · 3:06 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Oct 3, 2026 · 3:05 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
51California Why here?
52Iowa State Why here?
53Maryland Why here?
54Arizona Why here?
55Texas A&M Why here?
56Army Why here?
57Washington Why here?
58Georgia State Why here?
59South Carolina Why here?
60Wake Forest Why here?
61Tulsa Why here?
62Syracuse Why here?
63Texas State Why here?
64Louisville Why here?
65Florida State Why here?
66Arkansas Why here?
67NC State Why here?
68Oregon State Why here?
69Penn State Why here?
70New Mexico Why here?
71North Texas Why here?
72Vanderbilt Why here?
73Miami (OH) Why here?
74Kansas Why here?
75Michigan Why here?
76Memphis Why here?
77Oklahoma Why here?
78Air Force Why here?
79East Carolina Why here?
80Colorado Why here?
81App State Why here?
82Louisiana Tech Why here?
83Illinois Why here?
84Colorado State Why here?
85UConn Why here?
86Western Michigan Why here?
87Rutgers Why here?
88Arkansas State Why here?
89Boston College Why here?
90San Diego State Why here?
91Louisiana Why here?
92Ohio Why here?
93Jacksonville State Why here?
94Fresno State Why here?
95Washington State Why here?
96Troy Why here?
97Temple Why here?
98Purdue Why here?
99Delaware Why here?
100Michigan State Why here?