PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 5 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 5

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Calculated Oct 3, 2026 · 3:06 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Oct 3, 2026 · 3:05 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
101Coastal Carolina Why here?
102South Alabama Why here?
103Georgia Southern Why here?
104Tulane Why here?
105Sam Houston Why here?
106Florida Atlantic Why here?
107Florida International Why here?
108Georgia Tech Why here?
109Kennesaw State Why here?
110Old Dominion Why here?
111Marshall Why here?
112Utah State Why here?
113Central Michigan Why here?
114Kent State Why here?
115Southern Miss Why here?
116Buffalo Why here?
117San José State Why here?
118Wyoming Why here?
119UNLV Why here?
120New Mexico State Why here?
121Rice Why here?
122Missouri State Why here?
123Western Kentucky Why here?
124Navy Why here?
125Middle Tennessee Why here?
126Sacramento State Why here?
127UAB Why here?
128UTEP Why here?
129Ball State Why here?
130Nevada Why here?
131Eastern Michigan Why here?
132Akron Why here?
133Northern Illinois Why here?
134Bowling Green Why here?
135Stanford Why here?
136Hawai'i Why here?
137Charlotte Why here?
138UL Monroe Why here?