PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 1 · revision 2

2026 season · through week 1

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Public baseline rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 2
Engine version
3.7.0-frozen-classification
Evidence cutoff
Sep 8, 2026 · 6:43 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
101TCU Why here?
102Rutgers Why here?
103California Why here?
104Louisville Why here?
105NC State Why here?
106Western Michigan Why here?
107Boise State Why here?
108Toledo Why here?
109Washington State Why here?
110UAB Why here?
111Oregon State Why here?
112Liberty Why here?
113Bowling Green Why here?
114Hawai'i Why here?
115Sam Houston Why here?
116Marshall Why here?
117Texas State Why here?
118Boston College Why here?
119Arkansas State Why here?
120Tulane Why here?
121Western Kentucky Why here?
122Oklahoma State Why here?
123Akron Why here?
124Coastal Carolina Why here?
125Florida International Why here?
126Florida Atlantic Why here?
127Ohio Why here?
128Wyoming Why here?
129Miami (OH) Why here?
130East Carolina Why here?
131Kent State Why here?
132UL Monroe Why here?
133Central Michigan Why here?
134North Texas Why here?
135Missouri State Why here?
136UTEP Why here?
137Ball State Why here?
138Northern Illinois Why here?