PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 5 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 5

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Calculated Oct 3, 2026 · 4:51 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Oct 3, 2026 · 4:51 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
101South Alabama Why here?
102Georgia Southern Why here?
103Michigan State Why here?
104Tulane Why here?
105Sam Houston Why here?
106Florida Atlantic Why here?
107Florida International Why here?
108Georgia Tech Why here?
109Kennesaw State Why here?
110Old Dominion Why here?
111Marshall Why here?
112Utah State Why here?
113Central Michigan Why here?
114Kent State Why here?
115Southern Miss Why here?
116San José State Why here?
117Wyoming Why here?
118UNLV Why here?
119New Mexico State Why here?
120Missouri State Why here?
121Western Kentucky Why here?
122Navy Why here?
123Buffalo Why here?
124Rice Why here?
125Middle Tennessee Why here?
126UAB Why here?
127Sacramento State Why here?
128UTEP Why here?
129Nevada Why here?
130Eastern Michigan Why here?
131Akron Why here?
132Ball State Why here?
133Northern Illinois Why here?
134Stanford Why here?
135Bowling Green Why here?
136Hawai'i Why here?
137Charlotte Why here?
138UL Monroe Why here?