PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 5 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 5

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Calculated Oct 3, 2026 · 6:11 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Oct 3, 2026 · 6:05 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Alabama Why here?
2Texas Why here?
3Notre Dame Why here?
4Utah Why here?
5Pittsburgh Why here?
6Texas Tech Why here?
7Florida Why here?
8Georgia Why here?
9BYU Why here?
10UCLA Why here?
11Indiana Why here?
12Oregon Why here?
13Ohio State Why here?
14Houston Why here?
15LSU Why here?
16Northwestern Why here?
17Oklahoma State Why here?
18Tennessee Why here?
19Miami Why here?
20James Madison Why here?
21Cincinnati Why here?
22Wisconsin Why here?
23Nebraska Why here?
24UCF Why here?
25Virginia Tech Why here?
26Kentucky Why here?
27Auburn Why here?
28Missouri Why here?
29Mississippi State Why here?
30Duke Why here?
31North Dakota State Why here?
32Baylor Why here?
33UTSA Why here?
34Ole Miss Why here?
35Iowa Why here?
36Florida State Why here?
37South Florida Why here?
38SMU Why here?
39Boise State Why here?
40Clemson Why here?
41Arizona State Why here?
42Kansas State Why here?
43North Carolina Why here?
44TCU Why here?
45USC Why here?
46Minnesota Why here?
47West Virginia Why here?
48Liberty Why here?
49Texas A&M Why here?
50Georgia State Why here?