PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 5 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 5

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Calculated Oct 3, 2026 · 6:11 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Oct 3, 2026 · 6:05 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
51Iowa State Why here?
52Arizona Why here?
53Army Why here?
54Virginia Why here?
55California Why here?
56Maryland Why here?
57South Carolina Why here?
58Toledo Why here?
59Washington Why here?
60Tulsa Why here?
61Syracuse Why here?
62Louisville Why here?
63Texas State Why here?
64Wake Forest Why here?
65New Mexico Why here?
66Arkansas Why here?
67Oregon State Why here?
68Penn State Why here?
69North Texas Why here?
70Kansas Why here?
71Massachusetts Why here?
72Vanderbilt Why here?
73NC State Why here?
74Memphis Why here?
75Illinois Why here?
76Oklahoma Why here?
77Michigan Why here?
78Air Force Why here?
79Colorado Why here?
80Louisiana Tech Why here?
81Colorado State Why here?
82App State Why here?
83Louisiana Why here?
84Arkansas State Why here?
85East Carolina Why here?
86San Diego State Why here?
87Boston College Why here?
88UConn Why here?
89Fresno State Why here?
90Troy Why here?
91Washington State Why here?
92Jacksonville State Why here?
93Rutgers Why here?
94Michigan State Why here?
95Ohio Why here?
96Miami (OH) Why here?
97Western Michigan Why here?
98Temple Why here?
99Purdue Why here?
100Florida Atlantic Why here?