PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 5 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 5

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Calculated Oct 3, 2026 · 6:55 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Oct 3, 2026 · 6:55 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
51Liberty Why here?
52Georgia State Why here?
53Army Why here?
54South Carolina Why here?
55Virginia Why here?
56Washington Why here?
57Toledo Why here?
58Maryland Why here?
59Tulsa Why here?
60New Mexico Why here?
61Texas State Why here?
62Kansas Why here?
63North Texas Why here?
64Arkansas Why here?
65Penn State Why here?
66Wake Forest Why here?
67Syracuse Why here?
68Oregon State Why here?
69NC State Why here?
70Massachusetts Why here?
71Memphis Why here?
72Vanderbilt Why here?
73Air Force Why here?
74Louisville Why here?
75Oklahoma Why here?
76Michigan Why here?
77Colorado Why here?
78Louisiana Tech Why here?
79Colorado State Why here?
80Purdue Why here?
81California Why here?
82App State Why here?
83Arkansas State Why here?
84Louisiana Why here?
85East Carolina Why here?
86Troy Why here?
87Illinois Why here?
88Fresno State Why here?
89Boston College Why here?
90Washington State Why here?
91San Diego State Why here?
92UConn Why here?
93Jacksonville State Why here?
94Michigan State Why here?
95Rutgers Why here?
96Ohio Why here?
97Western Michigan Why here?
98Miami (OH) Why here?
99Temple Why here?
100Sam Houston Why here?