PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 5 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 5

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Calculated Oct 3, 2026 · 7:09 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Oct 3, 2026 · 7:08 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
51Georgia State Why here?
52Army Why here?
53Texas A&M Why here?
54Virginia Why here?
55Washington Why here?
56Tulsa Why here?
57Toledo Why here?
58New Mexico Why here?
59Texas State Why here?
60Kansas Why here?
61North Texas Why here?
62Arkansas Why here?
63Penn State Why here?
64Wake Forest Why here?
65Oregon State Why here?
66NC State Why here?
67Syracuse Why here?
68South Carolina Why here?
69Massachusetts Why here?
70Memphis Why here?
71Vanderbilt Why here?
72Maryland Why here?
73Air Force Why here?
74Louisville Why here?
75Oklahoma Why here?
76Michigan Why here?
77Colorado Why here?
78Louisiana Tech Why here?
79Colorado State Why here?
80Purdue Why here?
81App State Why here?
82California Why here?
83Arkansas State Why here?
84Louisiana Why here?
85East Carolina Why here?
86Troy Why here?
87Illinois Why here?
88Fresno State Why here?
89Boston College Why here?
90Washington State Why here?
91Michigan State Why here?
92San Diego State Why here?
93Jacksonville State Why here?
94Rutgers Why here?
95Ohio Why here?
96Western Michigan Why here?
97UConn Why here?
98Temple Why here?
99Miami (OH) Why here?
100Sam Houston Why here?