PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 5 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 5

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Calculated Oct 3, 2026 · 8:38 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Oct 3, 2026 · 8:32 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
101Sam Houston Why here?
102Eastern Michigan Why here?
103Georgia Southern Why here?
104Colorado State Why here?
105Coastal Carolina Why here?
106UAB Why here?
107Tulane Why here?
108South Alabama Why here?
109Delaware Why here?
110Kennesaw State Why here?
111Utah State Why here?
112Georgia Tech Why here?
113Navy Why here?
114San José State Why here?
115Central Michigan Why here?
116Marshall Why here?
117New Mexico State Why here?
118UNLV Why here?
119Old Dominion Why here?
120Buffalo Why here?
121Western Kentucky Why here?
122Southern Miss Why here?
123Missouri State Why here?
124Rice Why here?
125Kent State Why here?
126Middle Tennessee Why here?
127Bowling Green Why here?
128Nevada Why here?
129Wyoming Why here?
130Sacramento State Why here?
131UTEP Why here?
132Ball State Why here?
133Northern Illinois Why here?
134Stanford Why here?
135Hawai'i Why here?
136UL Monroe Why here?
137Akron Why here?
138Charlotte Why here?