PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

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Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 3:02 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 2:58 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
1Texas Tech Why here?
2Notre Dame Why here?
3Pittsburgh Why here?
4Missouri Why here?
5Virginia Tech Why here?
6West Virginia Why here?
7BYU Why here?
8Florida Why here?
9Texas Why here?
10Mississippi State Why here?
11Tulsa Why here?
12Tennessee Why here?
13Alabama Why here?
14Maryland Why here?
15Ole Miss Why here?
16North Dakota State Why here?
17Iowa Why here?
18Michigan Why here?
19Utah Why here?
20Houston Why here?
21Vanderbilt Why here?
22Cincinnati Why here?
23UCF Why here?
24UCLA Why here?
25Virginia Why here?
26James Madison Why here?
27Georgia Why here?
28Oregon Why here?
29Kansas State Why here?
30Massachusetts Why here?
31Texas A&M Why here?
32Miami Why here?
33Auburn Why here?
34LSU Why here?
35Penn State Why here?
36South Florida Why here?
37Indiana Why here?
38South Carolina Why here?
39Baylor Why here?
40USC Why here?
41Oklahoma State Why here?
42Georgia State Why here?
43Kentucky Why here?
44Oklahoma Why here?
45Washington Why here?
46Nebraska Why here?
47North Carolina Why here?
48Arizona State Why here?
49TCU Why here?
50Northwestern Why here?