PUBLIC RANKINGS

My CFB Baseline · 2026 through Week 4 · revision 3

2026 season · through week 4

Download CSV

Calculated Sep 26, 2026 · 4:08 PM CDT.

My CFB Example rankings using persisted real data and the same point-in-time rules documented in the methodology.

Model configuration used
Configuration
Revision 3
Engine version
3.8.0-kickoff-chronology
Evidence cutoff
Sep 26, 2026 · 4:04 PM CDT
Factor keyNormalized share
adj_margin0.108108
avoid_bad_losses0.040541
close_game_wins0.027027
defense_ppg0.067568
offense_ppg0.067568
preseason_portal0.040541
preseason_previous_performance0.054054
preseason_recruiting0.067568
preseason_returning0.054054
preseason_talent0.067568
quality_wins0.081081
recent_form0.054054
road_neutral_wins0.040541
sos0.081081
statement_wins0.040541
win_pct0.108108

These values came from this immutable run, not the model’s current settings.

RankTeamExplanation
101Arkansas State Why here?
102Fresno State Why here?
103Georgia Southern Why here?
104Central Michigan Why here?
105Middle Tennessee Why here?
106Old Dominion Why here?
107UTEP Why here?
108Marshall Why here?
109Utah State Why here?
110Kent State Why here?
111South Alabama Why here?
112San José State Why here?
113Tulane Why here?
114Missouri State Why here?
115Sacramento State Why here?
116Florida Atlantic Why here?
117East Carolina Why here?
118Navy Why here?
119Eastern Michigan Why here?
120Wyoming Why here?
121UAB Why here?
122Ohio Why here?
123Texas State Why here?
124Florida International Why here?
125New Mexico State Why here?
126UNLV Why here?
127Ball State Why here?
128Charlotte Why here?
129Northern Illinois Why here?
130Nevada Why here?
131North Texas Why here?
132Buffalo Why here?
133Akron Why here?
134Western Kentucky Why here?
135Hawai'i Why here?
136UL Monroe Why here?
137Bowling Green Why here?
138Stanford Why here?