RANKING EXPLANATION

#102 Fresno State

See which factors helped or hurt this team’s ranking.

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Moderate drag

Game control

Rewards teams that consistently outscore opponents, with schedule strength considered.

Your importance: 8 out of 10
Moderate drag

Scoring punch

Rewards teams that put points on the board, adjusted for who they played.

Your importance: 5 out of 10
Small effect

Defensive toughness

Rewards teams that keep opponents off the scoreboard, adjusted for who they played.

Your importance: 5 out of 10
Small effect

Winning

Rewards teams for simply winning the games on their schedule.

Your importance: 8 out of 10
Moderate drag

Tough schedules

Rewards teams that have faced stronger opponents.

Your importance: 6 out of 10
Moderate drag

Big-game wins

Gives extra credit for beating strong opponents.

Your importance: 6 out of 10
Small effect

Wins away from home

Gives extra credit for winning road and neutral-site games.

Your importance: 3 out of 10
Small effect

Statement wins

Rewards teams for wins by 14 or more points.

Your importance: 3 out of 10
Not used: evidence unavailable

Close-game grit

Rewards teams that win games decided by eight points or fewer.

Your importance: 2 out of 10
Moderate drag

Avoiding bad losses

Rewards teams whose worst result was still competitive.

Your importance: 3 out of 10
Small effect

Team talent

How much proven player talent is already on the roster.

Your importance: 5 out of 10
Small effect

Recruiting strength

Rewards teams that have stacked several strong recruiting classes.

Your importance: 5 out of 10
Small effect

Returning production

Rewards teams bringing back more of last season's on-field production.

Your importance: 4 out of 10
Small effect

Transfer portal impact

Rewards teams whose rated transfer additions outweigh their departures.

Your importance: 3 out of 10
Small effect

Previous-season performance

Lets last season's results matter until this season builds its own story.

Your importance: 4 out of 10
Small effect

Recent form

Emphasizes how a team performed in its three most recently completed games.

Your importance: 4 out of 10
Show the technical details
FactorRaw valueAdjusted valueContribution
Game control-9.822-0.771-0.096
Scoring punch16.399-1.386-0.108
Defensive toughness30.7200.0690.005
Winning0.6670.1970.025
Tough schedules-8.970-0.922-0.086
Big-game wins0.000-1.418-0.133
Wins away from home0.000-0.570-0.027
Statement wins0.6670.9580.045
Close-game gritNot available0.0000.000
Avoiding bad losses-35.000-1.344-0.063
Team talent586.840-0.525-0.022
Recruiting strength166.763-0.432-0.018
Returning production0.383-0.146-0.005
Transfer portal impact2.9200.5650.014
Previous-season performance-2.198-0.205-0.007
Recent form5.333-0.117-0.007

This ranking used completed results through week 4. The stored values below reproduce this ranking’s explanation.